Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -19 (69-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| M. Mabrey | 31 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 10 | - |
| D. Carrington | 29 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Jones | 28 | 10-16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Bonner | 27 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Harris | 24 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| V. Burton | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Bickle | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cloud | 35 | 7-18 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| C. Taylor | 30 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Griner | 29 | 11-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 25 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 28 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 26 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| M. Billings | 23 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Mack | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Atwell | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
* = starter