Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | +2.0 | ✗ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 35 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 17 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 33 | 6-17 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 4 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 35 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 34 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 30 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 15 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
* = starter