Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Atlanta Dream | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.3% | 54.7% | +1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Dream -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dolson | 30 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 26 | 7-13 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Ariel Atkins | 25 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 23 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 21 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| S. Kone | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 14 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhyne Howard | 39 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 37 | 5-16 | 2-8 | 5-6 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 32 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Tina Charles | 31 | 4-16 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -1 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 8 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Haley Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter