Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (104-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 43 | 6-19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 42 | 13-28 | 4-13 | 6-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 36 | 14 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 40 | 7-15 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 16 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles | 31 | 7-22 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Lorela Cubaj | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 8 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Haley Jones | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 45 | 7-17 | 4-13 | 8-8 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 42 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 41 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 32 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 40 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter