Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✓ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +24 (90-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 27 | 4-16 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | - |
| B. Griner | 25 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 25 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Monique Billings | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 18 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Amy Atwell | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diggins-Smith | 26 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Mercedes Russell | 25 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 23 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Ezi Magbegor | 22 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Jewell Loyd | 22 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Gabby Williams | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Sami Whitcomb | 20 | 3-12 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Horston | 19 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Joyner Holmes | 10 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Victoria Vivians | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Muhl | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter