Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.8% | 10.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.9% | 13.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 90.1% | 9.9% | -12.1 | ✗ (30.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +18 (94-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 29 | 4-11 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 26 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | - |
| C. Williams | 23 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 16 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| A. Smith | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 39 | 11-24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Satou Sabally | 37 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 33 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 25 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Lopez Senechal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter