Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.1% | 14.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.7% | 11.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -19 (81-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 32 | 8-14 | 5-9 | 10-11 | 4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 31 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 28 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 19 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Grace Berger | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Angel Reese * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 28 | 8-13 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Rachel Banham * | 26 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 25 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dana Evans | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 11 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter