Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -13 (76-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Collier | 33 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| B. Carleton | 32 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | - |
| K. McBride | 32 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| C. Williams | 27 | 8-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Hines-Allen | 20 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| A. Smith | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Miller | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| N. Hiedeman | 13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| C. Zandalasini | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Pili | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cloud | 36 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| K. Copper | 33 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 31 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Griner | 28 | 3-13 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 26 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| M. Billings | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Mack | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| C. Taylor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter