Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.4% | 82.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +14.9 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (84-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyssa Thomas * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 16 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 25 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 20 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Marina Mabrey | 28 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aliyah Boston * | 38 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 37 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 37 | 7-17 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Lexie Hull * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 18 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter