Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.4% | 60.6% | +2.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -14 (70-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 30 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 29 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 24 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 35 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 33 | 7-17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 33 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 22 | 7 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Monique Billings | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter