Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.7% | 5.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.3% | 26.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 38 | 8-17 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 8-28 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 28 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Megan Gustafson * | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 14 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kiah Stokes | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kate Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese * | 36 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 34 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 32 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 3 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Chennedy Carter * | 29 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 14 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dana Evans | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter