Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +10 (90-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark * | 38 | 8-18 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 34 | 8-17 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 25 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Damiris Dantas | 17 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 35 | 12-18 | 1-4 | 6-11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 30 | 6-15 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 29 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 13 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter