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2024-08-23

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 25.8% 74.2% -
Bradley-Terry 41.8% 58.2% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 50.9% 49.1% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.7% 51.3% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (82-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Sky

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Angel Reese * 36 3-12 0-0 7-8 20 3 0 2 0 13 26 -
Kamilla Cardoso * 36 8-11 0-0 2-3 6 2 1 0 0 18 16 -
Lindsay Allen * 30 5-9 0-1 4-4 1 6 3 0 5 14 10 -
Michaela Onyenwere * 29 2-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 3 2 1 5 9 -
Chennedy Carter * 26 7-18 0-1 5-5 6 4 0 0 6 19 5 -
Rachel Banham 17 3-6 3-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
Diamond DeShields 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Isabelle Harrison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
Dana Evans 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Moriah Jefferson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alyssa Thomas * 37 5-7 0-1 2-3 9 11 4 1 5 12 25 -
DeWanna Bonner * 34 3-16 0-8 9-11 8 3 1 1 2 15 10 -
Brionna Jones * 32 3-9 0-1 6-8 4 1 0 2 0 12 10 -
Tyasha Harris * 30 1-7 1-4 3-4 1 2 3 1 2 6 4 -
DiJonai Carrington * 24 2-12 0-3 3-4 3 0 3 1 0 7 2 -
Marina Mabrey 24 9-13 5-7 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 24 15 -
Veronica Burton 9 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Olivia Nelson-Ododa 7 2-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter