Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.6% | 46.4% | -0.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -11 (87-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 35 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 33 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 21 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 29 | 10-16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 28 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 23 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 12 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 33 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 7-15 | 6-8 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 28 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 21 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter