Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Sky | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +18 (86-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese * | 34 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Chennedy Carter * | 28 | 7-18 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 15 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 18 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Dana Evans | 11 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Cunningham * | 31 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 30 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 6-13 | 2-8 | 9-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 30 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 23 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Monique Billings | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 13 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter