Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.3 | ✗ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -12 (67-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 35 | 9-21 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 24 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 33 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 31 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 26 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Ivana Dojkić | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 24 | 26 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 32 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kate Martin | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter