Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.7% | 16.3% | -9.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -16 (83-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier * | 29 | 13-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 22 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 23 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 22 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Olivia Époupa | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sika Koné | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 28 | 5-15 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Shakira Austin * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 21 | 8-8 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 30 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter