Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✗ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -18 (91-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeWanna Bonner * | 32 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 25 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Marina Mabrey * | 29 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 27 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 25 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Caitlin Bickle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Satou Sabally * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Natasha Howard * | 35 | 7-17 | 1-3 | 2-6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Teaira McCowan * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 24 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Kalani Brown | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Stephanie Soares | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lou Lopez Sénéchal | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter