Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (32.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -35 (68-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu * | 22 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Breanna Stewart * | 20 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 18 | - |
| Jonquel Jones * | 20 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot * | 19 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 23 | 5-9 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Ivana Dojkić | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jaylyn Sherrod | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby * | 30 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Rickea Jackson * | 28 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Kia Nurse * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Azurá Stevens * | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Layshia Clarendon * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 28 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Li Yueru | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
* = starter