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2024-08-15

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Los Angeles Sparks Spread Result
Elo 38.1% 61.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.6% 48.4% -
Margin 58.1% 41.9% -1.8 (33.2 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -
Efficiency 72.1% 27.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.1% 32.9% -
Log Adjusted 67.1% 32.9% -
Points Off/Def 53.5% 46.5% -

Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -35 (68-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sabrina Ionescu * 22 6-13 3-7 3-4 4 6 1 0 3 18 13 -
Leonie Fiebich * 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 4 0 1 4 6 -
Breanna Stewart * 20 10-15 3-4 4-5 4 2 0 0 0 27 18 -
Jonquel Jones * 20 4-7 1-4 0-0 5 4 2 1 3 9 11 -
Courtney Vandersloot * 19 3-5 2-2 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 8 12 -
Kayla Thornton 23 5-9 4-6 2-2 1 1 2 1 1 16 11 -
Nyara Sabally 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 9 3 0 0 2 6 12 -
Kennedy Burke 19 2-6 1-3 1-2 5 4 1 2 1 6 11 -
Ivana Dojkić 18 3-5 1-1 0-0 1 3 2 0 2 7 6 -
Marquesha Davis 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Jaylyn Sherrod 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 2 -

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dearica Hamby * 30 6-12 1-2 1-3 13 5 2 0 5 14 17 -
Rickea Jackson * 28 6-13 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 13 -3 -
Kia Nurse * 24 4-5 0-1 2-2 1 1 1 0 3 10 5 -
Azurá Stevens * 21 2-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 3 2 5 5 -
Layshia Clarendon * 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Crystal Dangerfield 28 3-9 1-2 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 7 2 -
Li Yueru 20 0-6 0-1 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
Rae Burrell 18 1-6 1-2 12-13 2 3 0 0 3 15 11 -
Zia Cooke 16 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 -

* = starter