Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 30 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Karlie Samuelson * | 29 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Brittney Sykes * | 22 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Shakira Austin * | 19 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 9 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alanna Smith * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Kayla McBride * | 29 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 25 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 14 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter