Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.4% | 25.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 83.6% | 16.4% | -9.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 85.4% | 14.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -20 (65-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 35 | 12-19 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 14 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham * | 33 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 32 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 32 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 30 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 29 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 17 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angel Reese * | 32 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Rachel Banham * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere * | 24 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Dana Evans | 23 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 16 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter