Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.1% | 30.9% | -4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -9 (87-96). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 35 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 32 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 29 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 28 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 16 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 25 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough * | 36 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Ariel Atkins * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 33 | 6-13 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 30 | 8-16 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 13 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter