Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -12 (77-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson * | 36 | 12-19 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 27 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 25 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kate Martin | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 35 | 13-25 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 36 | 19 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 33 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| DiDi Richards * | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 31 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Jakia Brown-Turner | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter