Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 84.2% | 15.8% | -9.2 | ✗ (36.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 34 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 1 | - |
| Brittney Griner * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 30 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 25 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 24 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DiJonai Carrington * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Tyasha Harris * | 31 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner * | 26 | 8-15 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Brionna Jones * | 24 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Alyssa Thomas * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 23 | 8-11 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter