Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.7% | 61.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 38 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 36 | 6-13 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| K. Copper | 35 | 11-25 | 3-11 | 11-13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 36 | 11 | - |
| N. Mack | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| R. Allen | 25 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| C. Taylor | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| B. Griner | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 38 | 8-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 20 | - |
| N. Smith | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Boston | 33 | 10-17 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 25 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 33 | 11-19 | 3-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 13 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 27 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Hull | 20 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Dantas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter