Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +10.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +21 (98-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 28 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| DiDi Richards * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 26 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 25 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 21 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jakia Brown-Turner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 27 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 26 | 9-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 25 | 10-13 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 17 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 21 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 16 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Kate Martin | 14 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
* = starter