Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -8 (96-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Griner | 33 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 32 | 14-20 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 15 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 30 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Natasha Cloud | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 20 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 40 | 8-22 | 3-10 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Odyssey Sims | 38 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 34 | 11-15 | 1-2 | 13-17 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 33 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 24 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 18 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Monique Billings | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Lopez Senechal | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter