Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | +3.5 | ✗ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -11 (72-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 39 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - |
| D. Bonner | 33 | 3-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2 | - |
| D. Carrington | 29 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| B. Jones | 27 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| T. Harris | 23 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| V. Burton | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cloud | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 18 | - |
| K. Copper | 37 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 35 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Griner | 33 | 9-17 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| N. Mack | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Sutton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Dixon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter