Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.8% | 24.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 80.6% | 19.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -11 (77-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 4-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 31 | 8-12 | 3-6 | 7-9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 26 | 8-9 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 24 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kate Martin | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Stefanie Dolson * | 32 | 8-11 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Julie Vanloo * | 30 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen * | 18 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| DiDi Richards * | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 32 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jade Melbourne | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter