Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.0% | 78.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.0% | 84.0% | +9.1 | ✗ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 33 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Tina Charles | 29 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Jordin Canada | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Haley Jones | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Aerial Powers | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 13 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 15 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 32 | 4-14 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 17 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
* = starter