Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Chicago Sky | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.5% | 13.5% | -10.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.0% | 30.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago Sky -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 15 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 33 | 10-19 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 22 | - |
| Chelsea Gray * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Alysha Clark | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Kate Martin | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Chicago Sky
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey * | 35 | 8-16 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Chennedy Carter * | 34 | 9-20 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Lindsay Allen * | 34 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Angel Reese * | 30 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Kamilla Cardoso * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Isabelle Harrison | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Brianna Turner | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dana Evans | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Diamond DeShields | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michaela Onyenwere | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kysre Gondrezick | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter