Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +13 (93-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 31 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 29 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 22 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Li Yueru | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. Brown | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina Ionescu | 38 | 11-19 | 6-11 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 21 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 35 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 33 | 9-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 29 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 25 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| I. Dojkic | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter