Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.2% | 92.8% | +14.1 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +12 (90-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddy Siegrist | 40 | 8-17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Monique Billings | 37 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 31 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 28 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 26 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Lopez Senechal | 14 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| K. Brown | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie Soares | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 38 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 36 | 5-17 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 35 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 21 | - |
| C. Williams | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 25 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 23 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 13 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Kone | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter