Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.7% | 40.3% | -2.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (99-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Clark | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| A. Wilson | 34 | 10-17 | 1-1 | 11-11 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 32 | 32 | - |
| J. Young | 34 | 11-23 | 7-13 | 5-6 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 34 | 21 | - |
| K. Plum | 32 | 5-16 | 2-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 6 | - |
| T. Hayes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Colson | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Stokes | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Martin | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gustafson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Cloud | 35 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| B. Griner | 32 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 32 | 8-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| K. Copper | 30 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| R. Allen | 24 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| S. Sutton | 16 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| N. Mack | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter