Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.6% | 42.4% | -1.7 | ✓ (12.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -14 (86-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 34 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 28 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 26 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 26 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 24 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 19 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 18 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Sika Koné | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Olivia Époupa | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 34 | 4-13 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 9-18 | 1-2 | 9-10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Tiffany Hayes | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kate Martin | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 14 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter