Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +17 (89-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Boston | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 24 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 24 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Clark | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 20 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| L. Hull | 20 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| N. Smith | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Wallace | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| G. Berger | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| V. Saxton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harris | 29 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Carrington | 29 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| A. Thomas | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 24 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 22 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | - |
| D. Bonner | 22 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| B. Jones | 19 | 5-11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| R. Banham | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| V. Burton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter