Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.9% | 32.1% | -4.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napheesa Collier | 40 | 7-19 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 35 | 8-15 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 33 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Smith | 29 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. Williams | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 17 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 7 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Epoupa | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 32 | 13-23 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 34 | 19 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 31 | 4-19 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Rebecca Allen | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Griner | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter