Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.6% | 11.4% | -11.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -24 (62-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bridget Carleton | 32 | 5-7 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 32 | 10-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| A. Smith | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 26 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| C. Williams | 21 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 14 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Juhasz | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Epoupa | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Kone | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 37 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 23 | 3-11 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| L. Clarendon | 22 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Brown | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 18 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 18 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Cameron Brink | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 15 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Li Yueru | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter