Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.5% | 74.5% | +5.9 | ✓ (13.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 34 | 9-12 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Kia Nurse | 34 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rickea Jackson | 27 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Brink | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Aari McDonald | 23 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Zia Cooke | 16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephanie Talbot | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Brown | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Li Yueru | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Rae Burrell | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 35 | 7-16 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 29 | 9-14 | 7-9 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 18 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 29 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 25 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter