Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (24.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +36 (104-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaLyssa Smith | 31 | 8-14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Kelsey Mitchell | 30 | 9-19 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 1 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 29 | 1-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 20 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Grace Berger | 13 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jazmine Jones | 29 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 27 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 25 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 5-5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | - |
| Kennedy Burke | 24 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 24 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 20 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Marquesha Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| I. Dojkic | 4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter