Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Wings | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.4% | 92.6% | +13.9 | ✓ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.5% | 80.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +2 (74-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 39 | 8-21 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 34 | 8-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 34 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Monique Billings | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Stephanie Soares | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | - |
| K. Brown | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Lopez Senechal | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 9 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 27 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 35 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 32 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 30 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Rachel Banham | 13 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 11 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter