Model Predictions
| Model | Las Vegas Aces | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.1% | 77.9% | +6.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -14 (66-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 36 | 4-14 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 31 | 11-23 | 0-1 | 7-10 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 28 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kate Martin | 21 | 3-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride * | 35 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Napheesa Collier * | 34 | 6-16 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Courtney Williams * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Alanna Smith * | 31 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Bridget Carleton * | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Cecilia Zandalasini | 20 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Dorka Juhász | 14 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter