Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | New York Liberty | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.6% | 77.4% | +6.8 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New York Liberty +3 (81-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud | 35 | 9-17 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Kahleah Copper | 32 | 7-19 | 0-5 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 30 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Diana Taurasi | 28 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Natasha Mack | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Morgan Bertsch | 13 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betnijah Laney-Hamilton | 37 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Breanna Stewart | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 35 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 16 | - |
| Jazmine Jones | 31 | 7-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Courtney Vandersloot | 26 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Leonie Fiebich | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kayla Thornton | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nyara Sabally | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
* = starter