Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.3% | 52.7% | +0.6 | ✓ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +23 (70-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cunningham | 30 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Copper | 29 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | - |
| N. Cloud | 28 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 5 | - |
| N. Mack | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 25 | 2-14 | 0-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Bertsch | 24 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| M. Herbert Harrigan | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Dixon | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bonner | 29 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A. Thomas | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 15 | - |
| T. Harris | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Carrington | 23 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| R. Banham | 20 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| B. Jones | 18 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 18 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Q. Egbo | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter