Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.6% | 64.4% | +3.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +19 (99-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell * | 31 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Caitlin Clark * | 28 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Aliyah Boston * | 26 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Katie Lou Samuelson * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 18 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Erica Wheeler | 13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Grace Berger | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 32 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 31 | 7-16 | 3-9 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 30 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 30 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 30 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Kate Martin | 22 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dyaisha Fair | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter