Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | +3.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces -10 (88-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper * | 30 | 15-23 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 22 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 29 | 3-13 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Natasha Cloud * | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 27 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Natasha Mack * | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 18 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Morgan Bertsch | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young * | 40 | 10-19 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Kelsey Plum * | 37 | 9-23 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 9 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 33 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 32 | 8-18 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 27 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Kate Martin | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter