Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +4.0 | ✗ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (84-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 40 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 34 | - |
| DiJonai Carrington | 36 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| DeWanna Bonner | 35 | 7-19 | 1-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 8 | - |
| Tyasha Harris | 30 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Brionna Jones | 23 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tiffany Mitchell | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Moriah Jefferson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndour-Fall | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 32 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 25 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 21 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter