Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Las Vegas Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.3% | 64.7% | +3.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Las Vegas Aces +9 (89-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natasha Cloud * | 33 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Rebecca Allen * | 33 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kahleah Copper * | 29 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Diana Taurasi * | 28 | 8-14 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Natasha Mack * | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Sophie Cunningham | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Sug Sutton | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mikiah Herbert Harrigan | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Liz Dixon | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Las Vegas Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Plum * | 37 | 8-20 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Jackie Young * | 36 | 6-16 | 2-8 | 9-10 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Alysha Clark * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A'ja Wilson * | 34 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 29 | - |
| Kiah Stokes * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Megan Gustafson | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Colson | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Kierstan Bell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter