Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.5% | 50.5% | +0.1 | ✓ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +21 (92-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Clark | 32 | 5-15 | 4-11 | 6-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 0 | - |
| A. Boston | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | - |
| N. Smith | 27 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| G. Berger | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 19 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Mitchell | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Wallace | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| T. Fagbenle | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thomas | 36 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 24 | - |
| D. Carrington | 31 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | - |
| D. Bonner | 29 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| T. Harris | 28 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| R. Banham | 24 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| B. Jones | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Mitchell | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Jefferson | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| A. Ndour-Fall | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter